The countdown has started for chocolate lovers. Clocks are synchronized for the year 2020, when a possible lack of cocoa could embitter the palates of many, due to a combination of an increase in demand and a decrease in supply. The news broke at the end of 2014, when the results of a market trend analysis were released by the multinational company Barry Callebaut and picked up by several newspapers.
But is the future of cocoa really so dark? According to Pamela Thornton, who analyses the cocoa market, "2020 has been a media fabrication; it is not taken seriously by people within the cocoa research community". But she does admit to having some concerns about chocolate's future. "The climatic phenomenon El Nino will take place in Ecuador and Indonesia and we have noticed drier than normal weather in West Africa. 2015 will see a shortage of cocoa and it will be quite substantial, probably of 250,000 tonnes, the biggest in several years. In the meantime the demand is growing 2-2.5 percent every year."
The future of the fruit is a puzzle of many parts, including the consequences of climate change and El Nino's arrival in Ecuador, increased consumption in the populous arts of Asia, such as India, and the transition towards new models of production, as is already happening in Brazil.
But is the future of cocoa really so dark? According to Pamela Thornton, who analyses the cocoa market, "2020 has been a media fabrication; it is not taken seriously by people within the cocoa research community". But she does admit to having some concerns about chocolate's future. "The climatic phenomenon El Nino will take place in Ecuador and Indonesia and we have noticed drier than normal weather in West Africa. 2015 will see a shortage of cocoa and it will be quite substantial, probably of 250,000 tonnes, the biggest in several years. In the meantime the demand is growing 2-2.5 percent every year."
The future of the fruit is a puzzle of many parts, including the consequences of climate change and El Nino's arrival in Ecuador, increased consumption in the populous arts of Asia, such as India, and the transition towards new models of production, as is already happening in Brazil.
Vi invitiamo a vedere questi tre prossimi clips su come la situazione dello stato del cacao nel mondo stia deteriorandosi. Tre ricercatori hanno svolto un lavoro di ricerca e Al Jazeera mostra, in separati filmati, quello che sta avvenendo.
INC News, 17/02/2016 - source: ©Al Jazeera
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